Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Verl v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Final: SC Verl 2–0 FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Verl (Local)

Prediction 58.10%1.72fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -6.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.50%58.31%57.98%60.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.591.601.6569.44%63.04%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit)

Prediction 19.49%5.13fair odd
EV +1.35%
Edge +0.260%
Kelly +0.322%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.49%19.39%19.58%21.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.554.505.2024.39%21.97%22.22%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.41%4.46fair odd
EV +0.859%
Edge +0.191%
Kelly +0.246%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.46%22.30%22.44%23.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.973.984.5028.57%25.17%25.16%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Verl (Local): 58.10%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit): 19.49%; Draw: 22.41%. For FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV +1.35%E +0.260%K +0.322%G +0.004%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.62%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 08:20
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.41%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.79%EV -1.37%E -0.272%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.80%EV -2.28%E -0.523%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 08:15
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -2.54%E -0.509%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 09:25
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.49%EV -14.60%E -9.93%K -31.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.49%EV -2.54%E -0.509%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.60%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -5.47%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.99%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 08:19
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.60%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -5.47%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.99%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 08:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -5.47%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 08:00
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.11%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 10:54
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 11:05
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 11:00
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV +0.859%E +0.191%K +0.246%G +0.002%8.6%2026-04-18 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -5.86%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -5.86%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.70%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -3.62%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 08:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.09%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.11%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 08:30
Suprabets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.11%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 07:58
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 08:01
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.93%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -15.95%E -4.25%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-18 10:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 11:30
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 57.76%EV -16.34%E -11.35%K -37.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.48%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -21.55%E -6.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-18 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -14.24%E -3.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 08:00
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -14.24%E -3.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 08:00
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -14.24%E -3.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -14.24%E -3.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 08:00
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -15.21%E -3.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -11.47%E -2.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -18.14%E -4.32%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-18 07:50
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.73%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.39%EV -20.09%E -4.90%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -21.55%E -6.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%19.6%2026-04-18 10:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.50%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.50%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.50%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-04-18 11:30