La escuela de los momiosEspañol
SC Verl v FC Viktoria Köln 1904
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SC Verl (Local)
Predicción 58.10%1.72momio equitativo
EV -4.14%
Ventaja -2.51%
Kelly -6.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.50%58.31%57.98%60.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.591.601.6569.44%63.04%62.50%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visitante)
Predicción 19.49%5.13momio equitativo
EV +1.35%
Ventaja +0.260%
Kelly +0.322%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.49%19.39%19.58%21.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.554.505.2024.39%21.97%22.22%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.41%4.46momio equitativo
EV +0.859%
Ventaja +0.191%
Kelly +0.246%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.46%22.30%22.44%23.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.973.984.5028.57%25.17%25.16%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV +1.35%E +0.260%K +0.322%G +0.004% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.62%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 08:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.41%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.79%EV -1.37%E -0.272%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.80%EV -2.28%E -0.523%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 08:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -2.54%E -0.509%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.49%EV -14.60%E -9.93%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.49%EV -2.54%E -0.509%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.60%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -5.47%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.99%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 08:19 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.60%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -5.47%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.99%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 08:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -5.47%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.11%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 10:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV +0.859%E +0.191%K +0.246%G +0.002% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -5.86%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -5.86%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.70%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -3.62%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 08:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.09%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.11%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 08:30 |
| Suprabets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.11%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 07:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 08:01 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.93%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -15.95%E -4.25%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.76%EV -16.34%E -11.35%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.48%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -21.55%E -6.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -14.24%E -3.24%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -14.24%E -3.24%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -14.24%E -3.24%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -14.24%E -3.24%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -15.21%E -3.50%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -11.47%E -2.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -18.14%E -4.32%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-18 07:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.73%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.39%EV -20.09%E -4.90%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -21.55%E -6.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-04-18 10:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.50% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.50% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.50% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |