L’École des cotes

SC Verl v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Score final : SC Verl 2–0 FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Verl (Local)

Prévision 58.10%1.72cote équitable
EV -4.14%
Avantage -2.51%
Kelly -6.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.50%58.31%57.98%60.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.591.601.6569.44%63.04%62.50%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.49%5.13cote équitable
EV +1.35%
Avantage +0.260%
Kelly +0.322%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.49%19.39%19.58%21.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.554.505.2024.39%21.97%22.22%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.41%4.46cote équitable
EV +0.859%
Avantage +0.191%
Kelly +0.246%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.46%22.30%22.44%23.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.973.984.5028.57%25.17%25.16%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV +1.35%E +0.260%K +0.322%G +0.004%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.62%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 08:20
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.41%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.79%EV -1.37%E -0.272%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.80%EV -2.28%E -0.523%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 08:15
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -2.54%E -0.509%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 09:25
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 59.49%EV -14.60%E -9.93%K -31.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.49%EV -2.54%E -0.509%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 10:55
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.60%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -5.47%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.99%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 08:19
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.60%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -5.47%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.99%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 08:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -5.47%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 08:00
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.11%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 10:54
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 11:05
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 11:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -7.42%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV +0.859%E +0.191%K +0.246%G +0.002%8.6%2026-04-18 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -5.86%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:15
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -5.86%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:15
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.70%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -3.62%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 08:20
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.09%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.11%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 08:30
Suprabets1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -8.39%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.11%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 07:58
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 08:01
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.93%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -10.34%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -15.95%E -4.25%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-18 10:55
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 11:30
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 11:30
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.35%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.76%EV -16.34%E -11.35%K -37.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.48%EV -12.29%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -21.55%E -6.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-18 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -14.24%E -3.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 08:00
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -14.24%E -3.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 08:00
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -14.24%E -3.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -14.24%E -3.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 08:00
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -15.21%E -3.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -11.47%E -2.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -16.19%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:05
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -18.14%E -4.32%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-18 07:50
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 55.73%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.39%EV -20.09%E -4.90%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -21.55%E -6.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%19.6%2026-04-18 10:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.50%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.50%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.50%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-04-18 11:30