Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Preußen Münster v TSV Havelse

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 12:00 UTC

Final: SC Preußen Münster 2–1 TSV Havelse

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Prediction 58.40%1.71fair odd
EV -5.98%
Edge -3.71%
Kelly -9.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.42%58.48%58.29%60.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.571.571.6168.97%63.85%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSV Havelse (Visit)

Prediction 19.50%5.13fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.417%
Kelly -0.521%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.65%19.48%19.50%20.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.604.605.0223.81%21.75%21.74%19.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.10%4.53fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.475%
Kelly -0.614%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.19%22.04%22.21%23.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.044.004.4327.78%24.77%25.00%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Preußen Münster (Local): 58.40%; TSV Havelse (Visit): 19.50%; Draw: 22.10%. For TSV Havelse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.02, with an expected value of -2.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.77%E -0.629%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 12:05
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -7.15%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -6.38%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -7.15%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -6.38%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.15%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 20:14
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.60%EV -10.50%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:09
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.60%EV -10.50%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:10
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.98%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.76%EV -2.09%E -0.417%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.26%EV -2.11%E -0.475%K -0.614%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:20
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -4.32%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 06:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-31 12:10
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-01 18:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.99%EV -8.90%E -5.70%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -14.19%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.82%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 12:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.48%E -0.497%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.77%E -0.629%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 12:25
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 08:36
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.06%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 20:10
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 20:10
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 20:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.19%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -13.82%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-03 08:35
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.42%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -18.09%E -4.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -17.13%E -4.57%K -6.23%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-03 08:35
Suprabets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -11.23%E -7.39%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -12.40%E -8.27%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -15.55%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-02 07:29
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 57.55%EV -15.32%E -10.57%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.27%EV -15.55%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.18%EV -20.45%E -5.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%19.8%2026-09-04 08:35
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 57.55%EV -15.32%E -10.57%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.27%EV -15.55%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.18%EV -20.45%E -5.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%19.8%2026-09-04 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.59%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.38%17.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.59%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.38%17.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.59%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.38%17.4%2026-09-04 14:30