Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Preußen Münster v TSV Havelse

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 12:00 UTC

Score final : SC Preußen Münster 2–1 TSV Havelse

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Prévision 58.40%1.71cote équitable
EV -5.98%
Avantage -3.71%
Kelly -9.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.42%58.48%58.29%60.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.571.571.6168.97%63.85%63.69%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

TSV Havelse (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.50%5.13cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.417%
Kelly -0.521%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.65%19.48%19.50%20.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.604.605.0223.81%21.75%21.74%19.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.10%4.53cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.475%
Kelly -0.614%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.19%22.04%22.21%23.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.044.004.4327.78%24.77%25.00%22.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SC Preußen Münster (Local) : 58.40% ; TSV Havelse (Visiteur) : 19.50% ; Match nul : 22.10%. Pour TSV Havelse (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.13. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 5.02, pour une espérance de -2.09% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.77%E -0.629%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 12:05
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -7.15%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -6.38%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -7.15%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -6.38%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.15%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 20:14
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.60%EV -10.50%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:09
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.60%EV -10.50%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:10
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.98%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.76%EV -2.09%E -0.417%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.26%EV -2.11%E -0.475%K -0.614%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:20
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -4.32%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 06:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-31 12:10
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-01 18:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.99%EV -8.90%E -5.70%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -14.19%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.82%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 12:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.48%E -0.497%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.77%E -0.629%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 12:25
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 08:36
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.06%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 20:10
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 20:10
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 20:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.19%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -13.82%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-03 08:35
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.42%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -18.09%E -4.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -17.13%E -4.57%K -6.23%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-03 08:35
Suprabets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -11.23%E -7.39%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -12.40%E -8.27%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -15.55%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-02 07:29
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 57.55%EV -15.32%E -10.57%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.27%EV -15.55%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.18%EV -20.45%E -5.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%19.8%2026-09-04 08:35
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 57.55%EV -15.32%E -10.57%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.27%EV -15.55%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.18%EV -20.45%E -5.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%19.8%2026-09-04 08:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 54.59%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.38%17.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 54.59%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.38%17.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 54.59%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.38%17.4%2026-09-04 14:30