Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SC Preußen Münster v TSV Havelse

Início: 2026-09-05 12:00 UTC

Final: SC Preußen Münster 2–1 TSV Havelse

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Previsão 58.40%1.71odd justa
EV -5.98%
Vantagem -3.71%
Kelly -9.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.42%58.48%58.29%60.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.571.571.6168.97%63.85%63.69%62.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

TSV Havelse (Visitante)

Previsão 19.50%5.13odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -0.417%
Kelly -0.521%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.65%19.48%19.50%20.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.604.605.0223.81%21.75%21.74%19.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.10%4.53odd justa
EV -2.11%
Vantagem -0.475%
Kelly -0.614%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.19%22.04%22.21%23.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.604.044.004.4327.78%24.77%25.00%22.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: SC Preußen Münster (Local): 58.40%; TSV Havelse (Visitante): 19.50%; Empate: 22.10%. Para TSV Havelse (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.13. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 5.02, com valor esperado de -2.09%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -5.98%E -3.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.77%E -0.629%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 12:05
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -7.15%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -6.38%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -7.15%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -6.38%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.15%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 20:14
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.60%EV -10.50%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:09
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.60%EV -10.50%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:10
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.98%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.76%EV -2.09%E -0.417%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.26%EV -2.11%E -0.475%K -0.614%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:20
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -4.32%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 06:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-31 12:10
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-01 18:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.31%E -5.30%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.99%EV -8.90%E -5.70%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -14.19%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.82%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 12:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.48%E -0.497%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.77%E -0.629%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 12:25
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 08:36
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.06%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 20:10
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 20:10
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -6.12%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 20:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.36%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.19%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -13.82%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-03 08:35
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.42%EV -10.65%E -6.96%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -18.09%E -4.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -17.13%E -4.57%K -6.23%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-03 08:35
Suprabets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -11.23%E -7.39%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -10.29%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -12.40%E -8.27%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -15.55%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-02 07:29
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 57.55%EV -15.32%E -10.57%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.27%EV -15.55%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.18%EV -20.45%E -5.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%19.8%2026-09-04 08:35
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 57.55%EV -15.32%E -10.57%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.27%EV -15.55%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.18%EV -20.45%E -5.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%19.8%2026-09-04 08:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 54.59%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.38%17.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 54.59%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.38%17.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 54.59%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.38%17.4%2026-09-04 14:30