The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

SC Preußen Münster v FC Ingolstadt 04

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 12:04 UTC

Final: SC Preußen Münster 1–1 FC Ingolstadt 04

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Prediction 36.38%2.75fair odd
EV -5.42%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.57%36.36%36.41%39.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.442.502.6044.44%40.96%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit)

Prediction 36.64%2.73fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.392%
Kelly -0.623%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.00%36.66%36.62%37.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.522.502.7044.44%39.75%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd
EV +0.897%
Edge +0.240%
Kelly +0.327%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.27%26.98%26.97%29.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.363.403.7432.79%29.72%29.41%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Preußen Münster (Local): 36.38%; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit): 36.64%; Draw: 26.98%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.897%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.76%EV -5.78%E -2.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.65%E -3.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.46%EV +0.897%E +0.240%K +0.327%G +0.003%5.0%2026-08-15 11:50
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.88%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:49
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.88%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.04%EV -7.60%E -2.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.46%EV -5.46%E -2.11%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.04%EV -7.60%E -2.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.46%EV -5.46%E -2.11%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:49
Suprabets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.67%EV -9.78%E -3.95%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.57%EV -11.32%E -4.68%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.76%EV -4.77%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:30
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -5.42%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:54
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:49
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.69%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 11:47
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.69%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.69%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 11:49
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -16.33%E -7.10%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -15.72%E -6.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-15 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.42%EV -18.15%E -8.07%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 11:29
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -14.51%E -6.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -13.88%E -5.91%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-15 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.42%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.97%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:53
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.97%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:50
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.97%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 11:49
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -7.65%E -3.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 11:50
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -7.65%E -3.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 11:50
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 11:50
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 11:50
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -13.42%E -5.64%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -12.79%E -5.37%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-15 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 11:55
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 11:55
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -16.33%E -7.10%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.98%EV -17.55%E -7.80%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-15 11:49
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -16.33%E -7.10%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.98%EV -17.55%E -7.80%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-15 11:48
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -5.42%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -17.72%E -5.81%K -8.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 11:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.26%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-08-15 11:55