Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SC Preußen Münster v FC Ingolstadt 04

Início: 2026-08-15 12:04 UTC

Final: SC Preußen Münster 1–1 FC Ingolstadt 04

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Previsão 36.38%2.75odd justa
EV -5.42%
Vantagem -2.08%
Kelly -3.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.57%36.36%36.41%39.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.442.502.6044.44%40.96%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visitante)

Previsão 36.64%2.73odd justa
EV -1.06%
Vantagem -0.392%
Kelly -0.623%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.00%36.66%36.62%37.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.522.502.7044.44%39.75%40.00%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.98%3.71odd justa
EV +0.897%
Vantagem +0.240%
Kelly +0.327%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.27%26.98%26.97%29.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.363.403.7432.79%29.72%29.41%26.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: SC Preußen Münster (Local): 36.38%; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visitante): 36.64%; Empate: 26.98%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.71. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.74, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.897%.

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.76%EV -5.78%E -2.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.65%E -3.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.46%EV +0.897%E +0.240%K +0.327%G +0.003%5.0%2026-08-15 11:50
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.88%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:49
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.88%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.04%EV -7.60%E -2.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.46%EV -5.46%E -2.11%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.04%EV -7.60%E -2.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.46%EV -5.46%E -2.11%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:49
Suprabets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.67%EV -9.78%E -3.95%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.57%EV -11.32%E -4.68%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.76%EV -4.77%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:30
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -5.42%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:54
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:49
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.69%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 11:47
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.69%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.69%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 11:49
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -16.33%E -7.10%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -15.72%E -6.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-15 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.42%EV -18.15%E -8.07%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 11:29
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -14.51%E -6.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -13.88%E -5.91%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-15 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.42%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.97%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:53
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.97%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:50
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.97%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 11:49
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -7.65%E -3.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 11:50
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -7.65%E -3.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 11:50
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 11:50
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 11:50
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -13.42%E -5.64%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -12.79%E -5.37%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-15 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 11:55
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 11:55
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -16.33%E -7.10%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.98%EV -17.55%E -7.80%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-15 11:49
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -16.33%E -7.10%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.98%EV -17.55%E -7.80%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-15 11:48
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -5.42%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -17.72%E -5.81%K -8.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 11:53
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.26%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-08-15 11:55