Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Preußen Münster v FC Ingolstadt 04

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 12:04 UTC

Score final : SC Preußen Münster 1–1 FC Ingolstadt 04

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Prévision 36.38%2.75cote équitable
EV -5.42%
Avantage -2.08%
Kelly -3.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.57%36.36%36.41%39.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.442.502.6044.44%40.96%40.00%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.64%2.73cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.392%
Kelly -0.623%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.00%36.66%36.62%37.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.522.502.7044.44%39.75%40.00%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.98%3.71cote équitable
EV +0.897%
Avantage +0.240%
Kelly +0.327%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.27%26.98%26.97%29.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.363.403.7432.79%29.72%29.41%26.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SC Preußen Münster (Local) : 36.38% ; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visiteur) : 36.64% ; Match nul : 26.98%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.71. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.74, soit une espérance positive de +0.897%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.76%EV -5.78%E -2.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.65%E -3.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.46%EV +0.897%E +0.240%K +0.327%G +0.003%5.0%2026-08-15 11:50
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.88%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:49
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.88%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.04%EV -7.60%E -2.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.46%EV -5.46%E -2.11%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.04%EV -7.60%E -2.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.46%EV -5.46%E -2.11%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:49
Suprabets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.67%EV -9.78%E -3.95%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.57%EV -11.32%E -4.68%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.76%EV -4.77%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:30
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.24%E -6.54%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.06%E -0.392%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -5.42%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:54
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:49
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.69%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 11:47
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.69%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.69%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 11:49
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -16.33%E -7.10%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -15.72%E -6.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-15 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.42%EV -18.15%E -8.07%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 11:29
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -14.51%E -6.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -13.88%E -5.91%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-15 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.42%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.97%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:53
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.97%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:50
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.97%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 11:49
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -7.65%E -3.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 11:50
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -7.65%E -3.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 11:50
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 11:50
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 11:50
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -13.42%E -5.64%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -12.79%E -5.37%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-15 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 11:55
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.06%E -3.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 11:55
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -16.33%E -7.10%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.98%EV -17.55%E -7.80%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-15 11:49
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -16.33%E -7.10%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.98%EV -17.55%E -7.80%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-15 11:48
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -5.42%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -17.72%E -5.81%K -8.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 11:53
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.26%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-08-15 11:55