Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Fortuna Köln v Wehen Wiesbaden

Kickoff: 2026-09-16 16:59 UTC

Final: SC Fortuna Köln 0–2 Wehen Wiesbaden

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Fortuna Köln (Local)

Prediction 32.74%3.05fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.81%32.86%32.81%35.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.762.752.9439.22%36.29%36.36%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit)

Prediction 39.40%2.54fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.15%39.30%39.48%40.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.322.302.4547.62%43.01%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.86%3.59fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.710%
Kelly -0.994%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%27.84%27.72%29.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.12%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Fortuna Köln (Local): 32.74%; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit): 39.40%; Draw: 27.86%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -2.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -3.75%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -4.65%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -3.75%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -4.65%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 16:41
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.65%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -2.48%E -0.710%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.88%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 16:41
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:50
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -10.17%E -4.46%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-16 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -10.17%E -4.46%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-16 16:45
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-16 16:55
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.06%EV -7.68%E -2.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -8.59%E -3.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.98%EV -13.07%E -4.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 16:52
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.23%E -2.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 16:50
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 16:54
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-16 16:45
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 16:41
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 16:41
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:05
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:06
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:06
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:05
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:06
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 16:55
Suprabets🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.43%EV -10.95%E -4.03%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -8.59%E -3.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.39%EV -7.50%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-16 16:43
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-16 16:55
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -13.24%E -5.00%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.48%E -0.710%K -0.994%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -13.24%E -5.00%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -6.23%E -2.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -16.41%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-16 16:05
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.24%E -5.00%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-16 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -13.90%E -5.28%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-16 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -14.88%E -5.72%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-16 16:45
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.94%EV -16.52%E -6.48%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.07%EV -15.29%E -7.11%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -16.41%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000%19.1%2026-09-16 16:54
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.63%EV -16.52%E -6.48%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.63%EV -17.26%E -8.22%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.74%EV -16.41%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-16 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-09-16 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-09-16 16:55