Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Fortuna Köln v Wehen Wiesbaden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-16 16:59 UTC

Score final : SC Fortuna Köln 0–2 Wehen Wiesbaden

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Fortuna Köln (Local)

Prévision 32.74%3.05cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.81%32.86%32.81%35.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.762.752.9439.22%36.29%36.36%34.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.40%2.54cote équitable
EV -3.47%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.15%39.30%39.48%40.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.322.302.4547.62%43.01%43.48%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.86%3.59cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -0.710%
Kelly -0.994%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%27.84%27.72%29.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.12%31.25%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SC Fortuna Köln (Local) : 32.74% ; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visiteur) : 39.40% ; Match nul : 27.86%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.59. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.50, pour une espérance de -2.48% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -3.75%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -4.65%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -3.75%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -4.65%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 16:41
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.65%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -2.48%E -0.710%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.88%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 16:41
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:50
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -10.17%E -4.46%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-16 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -10.17%E -4.46%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-16 16:45
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-16 16:55
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.06%EV -7.68%E -2.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -8.59%E -3.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.98%EV -13.07%E -4.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 16:52
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.23%E -2.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 16:50
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 16:54
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-16 16:45
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 16:41
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 16:41
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:05
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:06
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:06
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:05
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:06
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 16:55
Suprabets🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.43%EV -10.95%E -4.03%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -8.59%E -3.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.39%EV -7.50%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-16 16:43
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-16 16:55
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -13.24%E -5.00%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.48%E -0.710%K -0.994%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -13.24%E -5.00%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -6.23%E -2.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -16.41%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-16 16:05
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.24%E -5.00%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-16 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -13.90%E -5.28%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-16 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -14.88%E -5.72%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-16 16:45
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.94%EV -16.52%E -6.48%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.07%EV -15.29%E -7.11%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -16.41%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000%19.1%2026-09-16 16:54
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.63%EV -16.52%E -6.48%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.63%EV -17.26%E -8.22%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.74%EV -16.41%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-16 16:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-09-16 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-09-16 16:55