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SC Fortuna Köln v Wehen Wiesbaden
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SC Fortuna Köln (Local)
Predicción 32.74%3.05momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -1.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.81%32.86%32.81%35.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.762.752.9439.22%36.29%36.36%34.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Wehen Wiesbaden (Visitante)
Predicción 39.40%2.54momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -2.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.15%39.30%39.48%40.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.322.302.4547.62%43.01%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.86%3.59momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.710%
Kelly -0.994%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%27.84%27.72%29.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.12%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: SC Fortuna Köln (Local): 32.74%; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visitante): 39.40%; Empate: 27.86%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.59. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.50, con un valor esperado de -2.48%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -3.75%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -4.65%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -3.75%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -4.65%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 16:41 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.65%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -2.48%E -0.710%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.88%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 16:41 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -10.17%E -4.46%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-16 16:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -10.17%E -4.46%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-16 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -6.70%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.06%EV -7.68%E -2.72%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -8.59%E -3.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.98%EV -13.07%E -4.19%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 16:52 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.23%E -2.62%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-16 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-16 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 16:41 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 16:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:06 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:06 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.24%E -3.88%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.97%E -3.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.43%EV -10.95%E -4.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -8.59%E -3.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.39%EV -7.50%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-16 16:43 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -13.24%E -5.00%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.48%E -0.710%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -13.24%E -5.00%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -6.23%E -2.62%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -16.41%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.24%E -5.00%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -13.90%E -5.28%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -14.88%E -5.72%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-16 16:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.94%EV -16.52%E -6.48%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.07%EV -15.29%E -7.11%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -16.41%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-09-16 16:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.63%EV -16.52%E -6.48%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.63%EV -17.26%E -8.22%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.74%EV -16.41%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-09-16 16:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |