赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Rot-Weiss Essen v MSV Duisburg

开赛时间： 2026-04-04 14:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rot-Weiss Essen (主队)

预测 46.69%2.14公平赔率
EV -5.22%
优势 -2.57%
Kelly -5.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.03

博彩公司预测分布
44.48%46.76%46.68%47.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.951.952.0354.64%51.24%51.28%49.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

MSV Duisburg (客队)

预测 26.90%3.72公平赔率
EV -0.462%
优势 -0.125%
Kelly -0.171%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
25.79%26.85%26.86%28.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.323.303.7034.48%30.12%30.30%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.41%3.79公平赔率
EV -2.83%
优势 -0.768%
Kelly -1.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.68

博彩公司预测分布
25.42%26.39%26.45%28.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.443.503.6834.72%29.08%28.57%27.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Rot-Weiss Essen (主队)：46.69%；MSV Duisburg (客队)：26.90%；平局：26.41%。 对于“MSV Duisburg (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.72。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.70，期望值为-0.462%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.91%EV -5.22%E -2.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.88%EV -2.83%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 14:10
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 14:19
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 14:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.82%EV -6.15%E -3.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -0.462%E -0.125%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -0.462%E -0.125%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.55%E -3.81%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.02%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.15%E -0.876%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -8.48%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.48%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 14:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.48%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 14:15
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.48%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 14:15
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 14:09
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:09
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 14:18
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 14:15
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 14:14
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 14:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 14:15
Suprabets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.33%EV -10.68%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.15%EV -8.37%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 14:06
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:09
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:09
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 14:10
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -10.82%E -5.66%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 14:16
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.82%E -5.66%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 14:09
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -10.82%E -5.66%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -14.18%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 14:09
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.82%E -5.66%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -19.29%E -6.43%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-04 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -12.69%E -6.78%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:09
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 44.48%EV -12.69%E -6.78%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -21.98%E -7.58%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -18.14%E -5.85%K -8.64%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-04 14:18
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.01%EV -13.15%E -7.07%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -14.55%E -7.95%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -16.60%E -5.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.55%EV -23.95%E -8.32%K -12.74%G +0.000%21.6%2026-04-04 14:09
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-04-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-04-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-04-04 14:15