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Rot-Weiss Essen v MSV Duisburg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)
Predicción 46.69%2.14momio equitativo
EV -5.22%
Ventaja -2.57%
Kelly -5.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.48%46.76%46.68%47.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.951.952.0354.64%51.24%51.28%49.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
MSV Duisburg (Visitante)
Predicción 26.90%3.72momio equitativo
EV -0.462%
Ventaja -0.125%
Kelly -0.171%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%26.85%26.86%28.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.323.303.7034.48%30.12%30.30%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.41%3.79momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -0.768%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.42%26.39%26.45%28.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.443.503.6834.72%29.08%28.57%27.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rot-Weiss Essen (Local): 46.69%; MSV Duisburg (Visitante): 26.90%; Empate: 26.41%. Para MSV Duisburg (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.72. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.70, con un valor esperado de -0.462%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.91%EV -5.22%E -2.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.88%EV -2.83%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.82%EV -6.15%E -3.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -0.462%E -0.125%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -0.462%E -0.125%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.55%E -3.81%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.02%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.15%E -0.876%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -8.48%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.48%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 14:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.48%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.48%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:18 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.33%EV -10.68%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.15%EV -8.37%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -10.82%E -5.66%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 14:16 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.82%E -5.66%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -10.82%E -5.66%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -14.18%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.82%E -5.66%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -19.29%E -6.43%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-04 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -12.69%E -6.78%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 44.48%EV -12.69%E -6.78%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -21.98%E -7.58%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -18.14%E -5.85%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-04 14:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.01%EV -13.15%E -7.07%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -14.55%E -7.95%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -16.60%E -5.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.55%EV -23.95%E -8.32%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 21.6% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |