L’École des cotesFrançais
Rot-Weiss Essen v MSV Duisburg
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)
Prévision 46.69%2.14cote équitable
EV -5.22%
Avantage -2.57%
Kelly -5.06%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.03
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.48%46.76%46.68%47.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.951.952.0354.64%51.24%51.28%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
MSV Duisburg (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.90%3.72cote équitable
EV -0.462%
Avantage -0.125%
Kelly -0.171%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.79%26.85%26.86%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.323.303.7034.48%30.12%30.30%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.41%3.79cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -0.768%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.42%26.39%26.45%28.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.443.503.6834.72%29.08%28.57%27.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.91%EV -5.22%E -2.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.88%EV -2.83%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 14:10 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 14:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.82%EV -6.15%E -3.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -0.462%E -0.125%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -0.462%E -0.125%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.55%E -3.81%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.02%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.15%E -0.876%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 14:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -8.48%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.88%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.48%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 14:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.48%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.48%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:18 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |
| Suprabets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.33%EV -10.68%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.15%EV -8.37%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 14:06 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.57%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 14:10 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -10.82%E -5.66%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 14:16 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.82%E -5.66%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -10.82%E -5.66%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -14.18%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.82%E -5.66%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -19.29%E -6.43%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-04 14:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -12.69%E -6.78%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 44.48%EV -12.69%E -6.78%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -21.98%E -7.58%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -18.14%E -5.85%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-04 14:18 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.01%EV -13.15%E -7.07%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -14.55%E -7.95%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -16.60%E -5.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.55%EV -23.95%E -8.32%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 21.6% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 14:15 |