Language:English
Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Würzburger Kickers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)
Prediction 53.58%1.87fair odd
EV -7.30%
Edge -4.22%
Kelly -10.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.87%53.99%53.41%58.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.701.7362.50%59.07%58.82%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit)
Prediction 22.19%4.51fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.536%
Kelly -0.694%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.43%22.24%22.25%24.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.094.104.4027.78%24.44%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.22%4.13fair odd
EV +16.28%
Edge +3.39%
Kelly +4.28%
Growth +0.697%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.64%23.76%24.34%24.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.754.8028.57%26.62%26.67%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rot-Weiss Essen (Local): 53.58%; FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit): 22.19%; Draw: 24.22%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -14.27%E -8.92%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.36%E -0.536%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV +16.28%E +3.39%K +4.28%G +0.697% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 20:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -3.10%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.45%EV -7.69%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.58%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -6.73%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -6.73%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -8.37%E -4.90%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -4.58%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 05:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.51%E -6.30%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 12:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.51%E -6.30%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.51%E -6.30%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 14:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.23%EV -9.98%E -5.94%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 05:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.13%EV -12.12%E -7.39%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 12:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.96%EV -9.44%E -5.59%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 21.66%EV -6.58%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.38%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 05:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 05:24 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.26%EV -11.05%E -6.66%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.79%EV -13.90%E -3.58%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 23.96%EV -10.61%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 12:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.58%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 09:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.58%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 05:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.58%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -12.12%E -7.39%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -11.58%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-07 12:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 14:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 05:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 05:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 05:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 05:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -10.51%E -6.30%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -20.11%E -5.59%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-08 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.93%EV -13.19%E -8.14%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -15.21%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-09 12:06 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.