默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Würzburger Kickers

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 12:00 UTC

最终结果: Rot-Weiss Essen 6–2 FC Würzburger Kickers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rot-Weiss Essen (主队)

预测 53.58%1.87公平赔率
EV -7.30%
优势 -4.22%
Kelly -10.00%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.73

博彩公司预测分布
51.87%53.99%53.41%58.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.691.701.7362.50%59.07%58.82%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Würzburger Kickers (客队)

预测 22.19%4.51公平赔率
EV -2.36%
优势 -0.536%
Kelly -0.694%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.40

博彩公司预测分布
21.43%22.24%22.25%24.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.604.094.104.4027.78%24.44%24.39%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.22%4.13公平赔率
EV +16.28%
优势 +3.39%
Kelly +4.28%
增长率 +0.697%

假设最高赔率为 4.80

博彩公司预测分布
19.64%23.76%24.34%24.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.763.754.8028.57%26.62%26.67%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Rot-Weiss Essen (主队):53.58%;FC Würzburger Kickers (客队):22.19%;平局:24.22%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.13。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.80,对应+16.28%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -14.27%E -8.92%K -23.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.36%E -0.536%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV +16.28%E +3.39%K +4.28%G +0.697%6.1%2026-09-08 20:54
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -3.10%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 12:05
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.45%EV -7.69%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.58%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 22:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -6.73%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 09:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -6.73%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 09:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 12:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -8.37%E -4.90%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -4.58%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 05:34
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:05
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:05
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:05
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:05
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.51%E -6.30%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.51%E -6.30%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 12:05
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.51%E -6.30%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 14:51
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.23%EV -9.98%E -5.94%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 05:24
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.13%EV -12.12%E -7.39%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 12:04
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.96%EV -9.44%E -5.59%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 21.66%EV -6.58%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.38%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:55
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 05:24
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 05:24
Suprabets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.26%EV -11.05%E -6.66%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.79%EV -13.90%E -3.58%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 23.96%EV -10.61%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 12:04
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.58%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 09:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.58%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-09 05:30
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.58%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-09 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -12.12%E -7.39%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -11.58%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 12:04
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 14:51
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 09:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 09:05
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 05:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 05:30
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 05:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 05:24
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -10.51%E -6.30%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -20.11%E -5.59%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-08 16:25
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.93%EV -13.19%E -8.14%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -15.21%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-09 12:06
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。