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Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Würzburger Kickers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)
Predicción 53.58%1.87momio equitativo
EV -7.30%
Ventaja -4.22%
Kelly -10.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.87%53.99%53.41%58.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.691.701.7362.50%59.07%58.82%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Würzburger Kickers (Visitante)
Predicción 22.19%4.51momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.536%
Kelly -0.694%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.43%22.24%22.25%24.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.094.104.4027.78%24.44%24.39%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.22%4.13momio equitativo
EV +16.28%
Ventaja +3.39%
Kelly +4.28%
Crecimiento +0.697%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.64%23.76%24.34%24.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.763.754.8028.57%26.62%26.67%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rot-Weiss Essen (Local): 53.58%; FC Würzburger Kickers (Visitante): 22.19%; Empate: 24.22%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.13. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +16.28%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -14.27%E -8.92%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.36%E -0.536%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV +16.28%E +3.39%K +4.28%G +0.697% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 20:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -3.10%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.45%EV -7.69%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.58%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -6.73%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -6.73%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -8.37%E -4.90%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -4.58%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 05:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.69%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.51%E -6.30%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 12:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.51%E -6.30%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.51%E -6.30%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 14:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.23%EV -9.98%E -5.94%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 05:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.13%EV -12.12%E -7.39%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 12:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.96%EV -9.44%E -5.59%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 21.66%EV -6.58%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.38%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 05:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 05:24 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.26%EV -11.05%E -6.66%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.79%EV -13.90%E -3.58%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 23.96%EV -10.61%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 12:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.58%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 09:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.58%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 05:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.58%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -12.12%E -7.39%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -9.02%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -11.58%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-07 12:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 14:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.24%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 05:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 05:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 05:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 05:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -10.51%E -6.30%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -20.11%E -5.59%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-08 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.93%EV -13.19%E -8.14%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -15.21%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-09 12:06 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.