Language:English
Rot-Weiss Essen v 1. FC Saarbrücken
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)
Prediction 51.80%1.93fair odd
EV -6.23%
Edge -3.44%
Kelly -7.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.02%51.98%51.91%53.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.761.781.8160.61%56.72%56.18%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit)
Prediction 24.92%4.01fair odd
EV +4.68%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.068%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.47%24.85%24.70%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.593.554.2029.41%27.86%28.17%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.27%4.30fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.481%
Kelly -0.630%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.74%23.16%23.39%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.833.854.2131.25%26.14%25.97%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rot-Weiss Essen (Local): 51.80%; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit): 24.92%; Draw: 23.27%. For 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV +4.68%E +1.11%K +1.46%G +0.068% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.07%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.07%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 13:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.60%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.17%EV -7.29%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.24%EV -2.02%E -0.481%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -9.86%E -5.67%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 09:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -4.58%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -4.58%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -8.82%E -5.01%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.73%E -3.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 09:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 09:43 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-22 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-22 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-22 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-22 09:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.51%EV -6.23%E -3.44%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -2.26%E -0.537%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.44%EV -10.90%E -6.33%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 09:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.02%EV -13.49%E -8.08%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -25.53%E -7.98%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-22 09:44 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.81%EV -11.41%E -6.67%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.53%EV -13.52%E -3.90%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 22.66%EV -9.01%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-24 03:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -11.93%E -7.02%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -14.02%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -10.38%E -6.00%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -15.26%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-22 09:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -13.49%E -8.08%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -15.26%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -12.73%E -3.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 50.75%EV -14.52%E -8.80%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.63%EV -15.26%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.63%EV -20.87%E -6.14%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-04-23 13:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |