La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Rot-Weiss Essen v 1. FC Saarbrücken
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)
Predicción 51.80%1.93momio equitativo
EV -6.23%
Ventaja -3.44%
Kelly -7.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.02%51.98%51.91%53.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.761.781.8160.61%56.72%56.18%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1. FC Saarbrücken (Visitante)
Predicción 24.92%4.01momio equitativo
EV +4.68%
Ventaja +1.11%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.068%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.47%24.85%24.70%26.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.593.554.2029.41%27.86%28.17%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.27%4.30momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.481%
Kelly -0.630%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.74%23.16%23.39%26.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.833.854.2131.25%26.14%25.97%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV +4.68%E +1.11%K +1.46%G +0.068% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:00 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.07%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.07%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 13:08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.60%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.17%EV -7.29%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.24%EV -2.02%E -0.481%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 14:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -9.86%E -5.67%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 09:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -4.58%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -4.58%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -8.82%E -5.01%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 15:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.73%E -3.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 09:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 09:43 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-22 09:50 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-22 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-22 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-22 09:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.51%EV -6.23%E -3.44%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -2.26%E -0.537%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.44%EV -10.90%E -6.33%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 09:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.02%EV -13.49%E -8.08%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -25.53%E -7.98%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-22 09:44 |
| Suprabets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.81%EV -11.41%E -6.67%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.53%EV -13.52%E -3.90%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 22.66%EV -9.01%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-24 03:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -11.93%E -7.02%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -14.02%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -10.38%E -6.00%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -15.26%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-22 09:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -13.49%E -8.08%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -15.26%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -12.73%E -3.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 50.75%EV -14.52%E -8.80%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.63%EV -15.26%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.63%EV -20.87%E -6.14%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-04-23 13:13 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |