L’École des cotes

Rot-Weiss Essen v 1. FC Saarbrücken

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)

Prévision 51.80%1.93cote équitable
EV -6.23%
Avantage -3.44%
Kelly -7.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.02%51.98%51.91%53.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.761.781.8160.61%56.72%56.18%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1. FC Saarbrücken (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.92%4.01cote équitable
EV +4.68%
Avantage +1.11%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.068%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.47%24.85%24.70%26.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.593.554.2029.41%27.86%28.17%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.27%4.30cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.481%
Kelly -0.630%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.74%23.16%23.39%26.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.833.854.2131.25%26.14%25.97%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV +4.68%E +1.11%K +1.46%G +0.068%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:00
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.07%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 13:09
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.07%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 13:09
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 14:45
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 13:08
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 52.60%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.17%EV -7.29%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.24%EV -2.02%E -0.481%K -0.630%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 14:50
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -9.86%E -5.67%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 09:45
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -4.58%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -4.58%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 11:30
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -8.82%E -5.01%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 11:30
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 13:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 15:00
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.73%E -3.39%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 09:44
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 09:43
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 09:50
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 09:49
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.51%EV -6.23%E -3.44%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 13:39
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:40
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:39
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:39
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:39
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:40
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:40
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:39
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:39
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:39
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.40%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:39
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -2.26%E -0.537%K -0.705%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 11:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 12:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.34%E -5.34%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 12:59
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 51.44%EV -10.90%E -6.33%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 09:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.02%EV -13.49%E -8.08%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -25.53%E -7.98%K -11.60%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-22 09:44
Suprabets1.71I 58.48%NM 51.81%EV -11.41%E -6.67%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.53%EV -13.52%E -3.90%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 22.66%EV -9.01%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-24 03:14
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -11.93%E -7.02%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -14.02%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 13:10
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -10.38%E -6.00%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -15.26%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-22 09:45
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -13.49%E -8.08%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -15.26%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -12.73%E -3.39%K -4.63%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-22 09:29
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 50.75%EV -14.52%E -8.80%K -22.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.63%EV -15.26%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.63%EV -20.87%E -6.14%K -8.70%G +0.000%19.4%2026-04-23 13:13
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%16.0%2026-04-23 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%16.0%2026-04-23 16:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%16.0%2026-04-23 16:15