Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hansa Rostock v Wehen Wiesbaden

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 12:00 UTC

Final: Hansa Rostock 1–1 Wehen Wiesbaden

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hansa Rostock (Local)

Prediction 55.05%1.82fair odd
EV -5.86%
Edge -3.43%
Kelly -8.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.02%54.87%55.13%59.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.631.651.7167.11%61.37%60.42%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit)

Prediction 21.66%4.62fair odd
EV +8.30%
Edge +1.66%
Kelly +2.07%
Growth +0.172%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.39%21.78%21.63%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.334.205.0027.03%23.11%23.81%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.29%4.29fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.521%
Kelly -0.684%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.89%23.36%23.25%24.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.923.954.2029.41%25.48%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hansa Rostock (Local): 55.05%; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit): 21.66%; Draw: 23.29%. For Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.62. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.42%EV -17.97%E -12.06%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV +3.96%E +0.826%K +1.04%G +0.041%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 12:05
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.48%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.73%EV -6.00%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.78%EV -3.58%E -0.866%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:50
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%EV -7.51%E -4.47%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -7.51%E -4.47%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 00:25
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -7.51%E -4.47%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.86%E -3.43%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.86%E -3.43%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 12:40
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -9.16%E -5.55%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -9.16%E -5.55%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 12:00
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -8.61%E -5.19%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 12:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.16%E -5.55%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-02 12:10
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.98%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 19:25
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 06:39
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 22:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 22:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 22:14
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 22:20
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 00:25
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 00:25
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 19:25
Suprabets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.57%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 23.33%EV -11.74%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 22:18
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.30%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -17.70%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -16.16%E -4.49%K -6.22%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-01 19:25
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -11.92%E -7.45%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -18.78%E -5.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-31 21:55
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.02%EV -13.57%E -8.64%K -23.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.50%EV -19.86%E -5.37%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.48%EV -20.82%E -6.12%K -8.67%G +0.000%20.1%2026-09-04 00:20
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.02%EV -13.57%E -8.64%K -23.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.50%EV -19.86%E -5.37%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.48%EV -20.82%E -6.12%K -8.67%G +0.000%20.1%2026-09-04 00:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-09-04 13:25