Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hansa Rostock v Wehen Wiesbaden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 12:00 UTC

Score final : Hansa Rostock 1–1 Wehen Wiesbaden

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hansa Rostock (Local)

Prévision 55.05%1.82cote équitable
EV -5.86%
Avantage -3.43%
Kelly -8.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.02%54.87%55.13%59.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.631.651.7167.11%61.37%60.42%58.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.66%4.62cote équitable
EV +8.30%
Avantage +1.66%
Kelly +2.07%
Croissance +0.172%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.39%21.78%21.63%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.334.205.0027.03%23.11%23.81%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.29%4.29cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.521%
Kelly -0.684%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.89%23.36%23.25%24.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.923.954.2029.41%25.48%25.32%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hansa Rostock (Local) : 55.05% ; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visiteur) : 21.66% ; Match nul : 23.29%. Pour Wehen Wiesbaden (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.62. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.00, soit une espérance positive de +8.30%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.42%EV -17.97%E -12.06%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV +3.96%E +0.826%K +1.04%G +0.041%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 12:05
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.48%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.73%EV -6.00%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.78%EV -3.58%E -0.866%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:50
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%EV -7.51%E -4.47%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -7.51%E -4.47%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 00:25
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -7.51%E -4.47%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.86%E -3.43%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.86%E -3.43%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 12:40
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -9.16%E -5.55%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -9.16%E -5.55%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 12:00
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -8.61%E -5.19%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 12:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.16%E -5.55%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-02 12:10
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.98%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 19:25
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 06:39
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 22:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 22:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 22:14
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 22:20
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 00:25
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 00:25
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 19:25
Suprabets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.57%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 23.33%EV -11.74%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 22:18
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.30%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -17.70%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -16.16%E -4.49%K -6.22%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-01 19:25
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -11.92%E -7.45%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -18.78%E -5.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-31 21:55
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.02%EV -13.57%E -8.64%K -23.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.50%EV -19.86%E -5.37%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.48%EV -20.82%E -6.12%K -8.67%G +0.000%20.1%2026-09-04 00:20
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.02%EV -13.57%E -8.64%K -23.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.50%EV -19.86%E -5.37%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.48%EV -20.82%E -6.12%K -8.67%G +0.000%20.1%2026-09-04 00:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-09-04 13:25