Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hansa Rostock v Wehen Wiesbaden

Início: 2026-09-05 12:00 UTC

Final: Hansa Rostock 1–1 Wehen Wiesbaden

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hansa Rostock (Local)

Previsão 55.05%1.82odd justa
EV -5.86%
Vantagem -3.43%
Kelly -8.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.02%54.87%55.13%59.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.491.631.651.7167.11%61.37%60.42%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visitante)

Previsão 21.66%4.62odd justa
EV +8.30%
Vantagem +1.66%
Kelly +2.07%
Crescimento +0.172%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.39%21.78%21.63%23.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.704.334.205.0027.03%23.11%23.81%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.29%4.29odd justa
EV -2.19%
Vantagem -0.521%
Kelly -0.684%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.89%23.36%23.25%24.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.923.954.2029.41%25.48%25.32%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hansa Rostock (Local): 55.05%; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visitante): 21.66%; Empate: 23.29%. Para Wehen Wiesbaden (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.62. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.30%.

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -15.22%E -9.88%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +8.30%E +1.66%K +2.07%G +0.172%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.19%E -0.521%K -0.684%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.42%EV -17.97%E -12.06%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV +3.96%E +0.826%K +1.04%G +0.041%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 12:05
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.48%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.73%EV -6.00%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.78%EV -3.58%E -0.866%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:50
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%EV -7.51%E -4.47%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -7.51%E -4.47%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 00:25
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -7.51%E -4.47%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.86%E -3.43%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.86%E -3.43%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 12:40
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -9.16%E -5.55%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -9.16%E -5.55%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 12:00
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -8.61%E -5.19%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 12:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.16%E -5.55%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-02 12:10
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.98%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 19:25
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 06:39
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 22:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 22:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 22:14
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 22:20
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 00:25
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 00:25
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 19:25
Suprabets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.57%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 23.33%EV -11.74%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 22:18
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.30%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -17.70%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -16.16%E -4.49%K -6.22%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-01 19:25
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -11.92%E -7.45%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -18.78%E -5.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-31 21:55
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.02%EV -13.57%E -8.64%K -23.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.50%EV -19.86%E -5.37%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.48%EV -20.82%E -6.12%K -8.67%G +0.000%20.1%2026-09-04 00:20
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.02%EV -13.57%E -8.64%K -23.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.50%EV -19.86%E -5.37%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.48%EV -20.82%E -6.12%K -8.67%G +0.000%20.1%2026-09-04 00:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-09-04 13:25