Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hansa Rostock v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hansa Rostock (Local)

Prediction 56.25%1.78fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -5.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.53%56.19%56.19%57.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.651.651.7165.36%60.54%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit)

Prediction 19.86%5.03fair odd
EV -0.689%
Edge -0.138%
Kelly -0.172%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%19.88%19.94%22.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.384.375.0025.00%22.82%22.91%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.89%4.19fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.87%23.93%23.87%25.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.763.754.0030.30%26.61%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hansa Rostock (Local): 56.25%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit): 19.86%; Draw: 23.89%. For FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -0.689%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 11:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.49%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV -0.689%E -0.138%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.49%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV -0.689%E -0.138%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 11:44
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.90%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.67%EV -4.07%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.43%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 11:45
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:19
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:19
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:19
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:20
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:44
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.61%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.61%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 11:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.61%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 11:44
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.25%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.96%EV -7.64%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 03:24
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.25%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.96%EV -7.64%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 03:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:24
Suprabets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.06%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 24.75%EV -12.32%E -3.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 11:53
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 04:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 04:09
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 04:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 04:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 03:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 03:25
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -8.32%E -5.10%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 09:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -8.88%E -5.48%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -2.68%E -0.546%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 11:44
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -9.44%E -5.87%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 11:30
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -10.01%E -6.25%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 10:20
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.85%EV -10.01%E -6.25%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.54%EV -20.55%E -5.14%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.62%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-04 11:44
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -10.57%E -6.65%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 09:50
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -11.69%E -7.45%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 09:50
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.91%EV -12.82%E -8.27%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -14.00%E -3.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-04 09:50
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 53.84%EV -12.82%E -8.27%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.86%EV -20.55%E -5.14%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.29%EV -21.16%E -6.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-04 11:44
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.21%EV -13.94%E -9.11%K -26.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.45%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-04 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.04%EV -13.94%E -9.11%K -26.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.45%EV -14.00%E -3.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.52%EV -21.16%E -6.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-04 09:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-04-04 11:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-04-04 11:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-04-04 11:44