La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Hansa Rostock v FC Viktoria Köln 1904
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hansa Rostock (Local)
Predicción 56.25%1.78momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -2.23%
Kelly -5.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.53%56.19%56.19%57.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.651.651.7165.36%60.54%60.61%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visitante)
Predicción 19.86%5.03momio equitativo
EV -0.689%
Ventaja -0.138%
Kelly -0.172%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.96%19.88%19.94%22.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.384.375.0025.00%22.82%22.91%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.89%4.19momio equitativo
EV -4.43%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.87%23.93%23.87%25.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.763.754.0030.30%26.61%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.49%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV -0.689%E -0.138%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.49%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV -0.689%E -0.138%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.90%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.67%EV -4.07%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.43%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.61%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.61%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.61%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.25%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.96%EV -7.64%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 03:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.25%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.96%EV -7.64%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 03:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 03:24 |
| Suprabets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.06%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.75%EV -12.32%E -3.36%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 11:53 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 04:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 04:09 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 04:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 04:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 03:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 03:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -8.32%E -5.10%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 09:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -8.88%E -5.48%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -2.68%E -0.546%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -9.44%E -5.87%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -10.01%E -6.25%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 10:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.85%EV -10.01%E -6.25%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.54%EV -20.55%E -5.14%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.62%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -10.57%E -6.65%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 09:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -11.69%E -7.45%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 09:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.91%EV -12.82%E -8.27%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -14.00%E -3.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-04 09:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 53.84%EV -12.82%E -8.27%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.86%EV -20.55%E -5.14%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.29%EV -21.16%E -6.41%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.21%EV -13.94%E -9.11%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.45%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-04 09:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.04%EV -13.94%E -9.11%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.45%EV -14.00%E -3.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.52%EV -21.16%E -6.41%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-04 09:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.99% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.99% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.99% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |