L’École des cotes

Hansa Rostock v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hansa Rostock (Local)

Prévision 56.25%1.78cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -2.23%
Kelly -5.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.53%56.19%56.19%57.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.651.651.7165.36%60.54%60.61%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.86%5.03cote équitable
EV -0.689%
Avantage -0.138%
Kelly -0.172%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.96%19.88%19.94%22.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.384.375.0025.00%22.82%22.91%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.89%4.19cote équitable
EV -4.43%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.87%23.93%23.87%25.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.763.754.0030.30%26.61%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 11:19
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.49%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV -0.689%E -0.138%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 11:45
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.49%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV -0.689%E -0.138%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 11:44
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 55.90%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.67%EV -4.07%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.43%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 11:45
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:19
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:19
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:19
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:19
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:20
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:20
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -18.57%E -4.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:20
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:44
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.61%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 11:45
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.61%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 11:44
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.61%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 11:44
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.25%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.96%EV -7.64%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 03:24
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.25%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.96%EV -7.64%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 03:25
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:24
Suprabets1.65I 60.61%NM 55.06%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 24.75%EV -12.32%E -3.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 11:53
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 04:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 04:09
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 04:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 04:09
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 03:25
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 03:25
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -8.32%E -5.10%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 09:49
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -8.88%E -5.48%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -2.68%E -0.546%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 11:44
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -9.44%E -5.87%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 11:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -10.01%E -6.25%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 10:20
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 53.85%EV -10.01%E -6.25%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.54%EV -20.55%E -5.14%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.62%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-04 11:44
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -10.57%E -6.65%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 09:50
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -11.69%E -7.45%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 09:50
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 55.91%EV -12.82%E -8.27%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -14.00%E -3.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-04 09:50
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 53.84%EV -12.82%E -8.27%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.86%EV -20.55%E -5.14%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.29%EV -21.16%E -6.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-04 11:44
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.21%EV -13.94%E -9.11%K -26.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.45%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-04 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.04%EV -13.94%E -9.11%K -26.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.45%EV -14.00%E -3.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.52%EV -21.16%E -6.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-04 09:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-04-04 11:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-04-04 11:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-04-04 11:44