Lingua:Italiano
Fortuna Düsseldorf v MSV Duisburg
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Casa)
Previsione 36.13%2.77quota equa
EV -4.27%
Vantaggio -1.61%
Kelly -2.59%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.72%36.17%36.11%37.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.502.502.6542.02%40.01%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
MSV Duisburg (Trasferta)
Previsione 37.45%2.67quota equa
EV -4.51%
Vantaggio -1.77%
Kelly -2.91%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.14%37.48%37.52%38.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.452.452.5543.48%40.78%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 26.43%3.78quota equa
EV +0.429%
Vantaggio +0.113%
Kelly +0.153%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.75%26.35%26.37%27.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.413.403.8031.25%29.36%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fortuna Düsseldorf (Casa): 36.13%; MSV Duisburg (Trasferta): 37.45%; Pareggio: 26.43%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.78. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.429%.
Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +0.429%E +0.113%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.28%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.04%EV -7.51%E -3.04%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.67%EV -3.27%E -0.894%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.88%E -4.57%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -4.86%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.40%EV -5.35%E -2.04%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.71%EV -7.88%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.40%EV -5.35%E -2.04%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.71%EV -7.88%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 36.25%EV -11.85%E -4.86%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 37.80%EV -12.38%E -5.29%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 25.94%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 16:06 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.96%E -3.56%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.96%E -3.56%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 06:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 06:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.49%E -4.69%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 06:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.27%EV -12.00%E -5.11%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -13.30%E -5.54%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.16%EV -10.05%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.20%EV -9.38%E -3.88%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.64%EV -10.67%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 36.92%EV -11.85%E -4.86%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.18%EV -6.76%E -2.71%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.46%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.61%EV -11.49%E -4.69%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.61%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -11.46%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 16:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -6.07%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -10.88%E -4.57%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 06:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 06:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 06:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 06:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -12.00%E -5.11%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 06:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -13.30%E -5.54%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.38%EV -9.01%E -3.71%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -14.02%E -5.89%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.55%EV -13.87%E -6.03%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -11.49%E -4.69%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.87%E -6.03%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -15.43%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-09 06:54 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.06% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.06% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.06% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |