Langue:Français
Fortuna Düsseldorf v MSV Duisburg
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local)
Prévision 36.13%2.77cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -2.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.72%36.17%36.11%37.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.502.502.6542.02%40.01%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
MSV Duisburg (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.45%2.67cote équitable
EV -4.51%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.14%37.48%37.52%38.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.452.452.5543.48%40.78%40.82%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.43%3.78cote équitable
EV +0.429%
Avantage +0.113%
Kelly +0.153%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.75%26.35%26.37%27.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.413.403.8031.25%29.36%29.41%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local) : 36.13% ; MSV Duisburg (Visiteur) : 37.45% ; Match nul : 26.43%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.78. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.80, soit une espérance positive de +0.429%.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +0.429%E +0.113%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.28%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.04%EV -7.51%E -3.04%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.67%EV -3.27%E -0.894%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.88%E -4.57%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -4.86%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.40%EV -5.35%E -2.04%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.71%EV -7.88%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.40%EV -5.35%E -2.04%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.71%EV -7.88%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -10.41%E -4.20%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 36.25%EV -11.85%E -4.86%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 37.80%EV -12.38%E -5.29%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 25.94%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 16:06 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.96%E -3.56%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.96%E -3.56%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 06:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 06:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.49%E -4.69%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 06:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.27%EV -12.00%E -5.11%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -13.30%E -5.54%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.16%EV -10.05%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.20%EV -9.38%E -3.88%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.64%EV -10.67%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 36.92%EV -11.85%E -4.86%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.18%EV -6.76%E -2.71%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.46%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.61%EV -11.49%E -4.69%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.61%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -11.46%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 16:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -6.07%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -10.88%E -4.57%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 06:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 06:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 06:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 06:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -9.69%E -3.87%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -12.00%E -5.11%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 06:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -13.30%E -5.54%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.38%EV -9.01%E -3.71%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-07 12:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -14.02%E -5.89%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.55%EV -13.87%E -6.03%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -12.79%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -11.49%E -4.69%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.87%E -6.03%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -15.43%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-09 06:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.06% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.06% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.06% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |