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FC Würzburger Kickers v Wehen Wiesbaden

2026-08-14 17:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Würzburger Kickers (Local)

Prediction 32.46%3.08fair odd
EV -7.50%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -4.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.46%32.46%32.46%32.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.852.852.8535.09%35.09%35.09%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit)

Prediction 41.11%2.43fair odd
EV -7.50%
Edge -3.33%
Kelly -6.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.11%41.11%41.11%41.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.252.252.2544.44%44.44%44.44%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.43%3.78fair odd
EV -7.50%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.43%26.43%26.43%26.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.503.503.5028.57%28.57%28.57%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Würzburger Kickers (Local): 32.46%; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit): 41.11%; Draw: 26.43%. For FC Würzburger Kickers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.85, with an expected value of -7.50%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.