Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Würzburger Kickers v Wehen Wiesbaden

Kickoff: 2026-08-14 17:02 UTC

Final: FC Würzburger Kickers 4–0 Wehen Wiesbaden

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Würzburger Kickers (Local)

Prediction 36.58%2.73fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.63%36.73%36.53%38.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.402.6443.48%41.13%41.67%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit)

Prediction 35.93%2.78fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.98%35.83%35.94%37.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.46%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.49%3.64fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.84%27.44%27.53%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.403.5033.33%29.90%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Würzburger Kickers (Local): 36.58%; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit): 35.93%; Draw: 27.49%. For FC Würzburger Kickers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.64, with an expected value of -3.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -3.42%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.51%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.39%EV -4.34%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -4.79%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 16:34
Suprabets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.93%EV -7.44%E -2.94%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.36%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.71%EV -9.84%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:36
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.37%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.98%EV -5.87%E -2.24%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 16:40
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.37%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.98%EV -5.87%E -2.24%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 16:34
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 16:34
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 16:35
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-14 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-14 16:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 13:19
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 16:34
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:35
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:40
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 13:15
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 13:14
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 13:13
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -12.93%E -5.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-14 05:39
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -14.03%E -5.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 05:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.31%EV -15.12%E -6.52%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-14 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 14:04
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 14:05
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-14 13:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -17.37%E -7.55%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-14 16:49
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -17.37%E -7.55%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.71%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%20.3%2026-08-14 16:43
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -17.37%E -7.55%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.71%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%20.3%2026-08-14 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-08-14 16:55