Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Würzburger Kickers v Wehen Wiesbaden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 17:02 UTC

Score final : FC Würzburger Kickers 4–0 Wehen Wiesbaden

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Würzburger Kickers (Local)

Prévision 36.58%2.73cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.63%36.73%36.53%38.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.432.402.6443.48%41.13%41.67%37.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.93%2.78cote équitable
EV -4.79%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.98%35.83%35.94%37.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.46%39.22%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.49%3.64cote équitable
EV -3.79%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.84%27.44%27.53%28.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.403.5033.33%29.90%29.41%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Würzburger Kickers (Local) : 36.58% ; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visiteur) : 35.93% ; Match nul : 27.49%. Pour FC Würzburger Kickers (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.73. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.64, pour une espérance de -3.42% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -3.42%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.51%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.39%EV -4.34%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -4.79%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 16:34
Suprabets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.93%EV -7.44%E -2.94%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.36%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.71%EV -9.84%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:36
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.37%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.98%EV -5.87%E -2.24%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 16:40
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.37%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.98%EV -5.87%E -2.24%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 16:34
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 16:34
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 16:35
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-14 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-14 16:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 13:19
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 16:34
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:35
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:40
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 13:15
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 13:14
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 13:13
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -12.93%E -5.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-14 05:39
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -14.03%E -5.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 05:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.31%EV -15.12%E -6.52%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-14 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 14:04
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 14:05
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-14 13:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -17.37%E -7.55%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-14 16:49
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -17.37%E -7.55%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.71%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%20.3%2026-08-14 16:43
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -17.37%E -7.55%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.71%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%20.3%2026-08-14 16:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-08-14 16:55