Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Würzburger Kickers v Wehen Wiesbaden

Início: 2026-08-14 17:02 UTC

Final: FC Würzburger Kickers 4–0 Wehen Wiesbaden

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Würzburger Kickers (Local)

Previsão 36.58%2.73odd justa
EV -3.42%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -2.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.63%36.73%36.53%38.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.432.402.6443.48%41.13%41.67%37.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visitante)

Previsão 35.93%2.78odd justa
EV -4.79%
Vantagem -1.81%
Kelly -2.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.98%35.83%35.94%37.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.46%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.49%3.64odd justa
EV -3.79%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.84%27.44%27.53%28.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.343.403.5033.33%29.90%29.41%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Würzburger Kickers (Local): 36.58%; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visitante): 35.93%; Empate: 27.49%. Para FC Würzburger Kickers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.73. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.64, com valor esperado de -3.42%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -3.42%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.51%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.39%EV -4.34%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -4.79%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 16:34
Suprabets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.93%EV -7.44%E -2.94%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.36%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.71%EV -9.84%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:36
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.37%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.98%EV -5.87%E -2.24%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 16:40
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.37%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.98%EV -5.87%E -2.24%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 16:34
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 16:34
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 16:35
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-14 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-14 16:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 13:19
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 16:34
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:35
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:40
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.59%E -2.53%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 13:15
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 13:14
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 13:13
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -12.93%E -5.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-14 05:39
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -14.03%E -5.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 05:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.31%EV -15.12%E -6.52%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-14 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 14:04
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 14:05
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-14 13:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -17.37%E -7.55%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-14 16:49
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -17.37%E -7.55%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.71%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%20.3%2026-08-14 16:43
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -17.37%E -7.55%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.71%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%20.3%2026-08-14 16:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-08-14 16:55