Language:English
FC Würzburger Kickers v Alemannia Aachen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Würzburger Kickers (Local)
Prediction 28.31%3.53fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.535%
Kelly +0.741%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.03%28.22%28.09%29.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.213.203.6034.48%31.17%31.25%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alemannia Aachen (Visit)
Prediction 46.24%2.16fair odd
EV -5.20%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -4.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.35%46.37%46.45%49.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.961.962.0555.56%51.05%51.02%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.44%3.93fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -0.871%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.44%25.42%25.46%26.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.533.553.8030.77%28.32%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Würzburger Kickers (Local): 28.31%; Alemannia Aachen (Visit): 46.24%; Draw: 25.44%. For FC Würzburger Kickers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV +1.93%E +0.535%K +0.741%G +0.014% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -12.14%E -6.39%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.31%E -0.871%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.39%EV -1.75%E -0.506%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.08%EV -3.56%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.90%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 16:26 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.90%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 16:21 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.90%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 27.46%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.09%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.46%EV -9.16%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 12:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.65%EV -7.42%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.98%EV -11.45%E -3.29%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.98%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-15 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 13:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.76%EV -12.60%E -6.67%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-15 13:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.12%EV -6.13%E -3.02%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 16:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 12:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.56%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-15 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-15 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -15.38%E -8.40%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.43%EV -16.76%E -9.31%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -17.30%E -5.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.76%EV -17.89%E -6.17%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.58%EV -15.38%E -8.40%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.66%EV -17.30%E -5.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-09-15 16:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |