StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Würzburger Kickers v Alemannia Aachen

Matchstart: 2026-09-15 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: FC Würzburger Kickers 1–0 Alemannia Aachen

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Würzburger Kickers (Hemma)

Prognos 28.31%3.53rättvist odds
EV +1.93%
Fördel +0.535%
Kelly +0.741%
Tillväxt +0.014%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.03%28.22%28.09%29.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.213.203.6034.48%31.17%31.25%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alemannia Aachen (Borta)

Prognos 46.24%2.16rättvist odds
EV -5.20%
Fördel -2.54%
Kelly -4.96%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.35%46.37%46.45%49.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.801.961.962.0555.56%51.05%51.02%48.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.44%3.93rättvist odds
EV -3.31%
Fördel -0.871%
Kelly -1.18%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.44%25.42%25.46%26.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.533.553.8030.77%28.32%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: FC Würzburger Kickers (Hemma): 28.31%; Alemannia Aachen (Borta): 46.24%; Oavgjort: 25.44%. För FC Würzburger Kickers (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.53. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.93%.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV +1.93%E +0.535%K +0.741%G +0.014%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -12.14%E -6.39%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.31%E -0.871%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 16:55
Pinnacle🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 27.39%EV -1.75%E -0.506%K -0.710%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.08%EV -3.56%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.90%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 16:26
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.90%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 16:21
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.90%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 16:21
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 16:25
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 16:25
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 16:24
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 16:25
Suprabets🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 27.46%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.09%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.46%EV -9.16%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 16:45
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 16:55
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 12:10
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 12:10
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 27.65%EV -7.42%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.98%EV -11.45%E -3.29%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 16:40
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.98%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-15 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 13:05
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 12:25
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.76%EV -12.60%E -6.67%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 13:04
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.12%EV -6.13%E -3.02%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 13:05
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 16:44
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 12:20
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 16:50
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 12:20
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 12:20
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 12:15
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 12:10
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-15 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-15 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-15 16:45
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.56%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-15 14:05
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-15 12:20
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -15.38%E -8.40%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-15 16:50
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.43%EV -16.76%E -9.31%K -20.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -17.30%E -5.32%K -7.69%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-15 16:55
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 28.76%EV -17.89%E -6.17%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.58%EV -15.38%E -8.40%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.66%EV -17.30%E -5.32%K -7.69%G +0.000%19.9%2026-09-15 16:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-09-15 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-09-15 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-09-15 16:50