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FC Würzburger Kickers v Alemannia Aachen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Würzburger Kickers (Local)
Predicción 28.31%3.53momio equitativo
EV +1.93%
Ventaja +0.535%
Kelly +0.741%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.03%28.22%28.09%29.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.213.203.6034.48%31.17%31.25%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alemannia Aachen (Visitante)
Predicción 46.24%2.16momio equitativo
EV -5.20%
Ventaja -2.54%
Kelly -4.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.35%46.37%46.45%49.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.961.962.0555.56%51.05%51.02%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.44%3.93momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -0.871%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.44%25.42%25.46%26.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.533.553.8030.77%28.32%28.17%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Würzburger Kickers (Local): 28.31%; Alemannia Aachen (Visitante): 46.24%; Empate: 25.44%. Para FC Würzburger Kickers (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.53. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.93%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV +1.93%E +0.535%K +0.741%G +0.014% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -12.14%E -6.39%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.31%E -0.871%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.39%EV -1.75%E -0.506%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.08%EV -3.56%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.90%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 16:26 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.90%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 16:21 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.90%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.15%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 27.46%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.09%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.46%EV -9.16%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 12:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.65%EV -7.42%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.98%EV -11.45%E -3.29%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.98%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-15 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 13:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.76%EV -12.60%E -6.67%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-15 13:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.12%EV -6.13%E -3.02%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 16:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.67%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 12:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.56%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.94%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-15 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-15 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -15.38%E -8.40%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.43%EV -16.76%E -9.31%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -17.30%E -5.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.76%EV -17.89%E -6.17%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.58%EV -15.38%E -8.40%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.66%EV -17.30%E -5.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-09-15 16:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |