Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v Wehen Wiesbaden

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)

Prediction 40.66%2.46fair odd
EV -6.08%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -4.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.92%40.80%40.50%42.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.202.3148.78%45.21%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit)

Prediction 32.36%3.09fair odd
EV +0.310%
Edge +0.100%
Kelly +0.148%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.11%32.26%32.42%33.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.822.823.1040.00%35.51%35.46%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.73%26.94%27.08%28.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.343.353.5534.72%29.93%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local): 40.66%; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit): 32.36%; Draw: 26.98%. For Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.310%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.310%E +0.100%K +0.148%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 08:59
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.32%EV -6.08%E -2.63%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.71%EV -2.60%E -0.864%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -4.48%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 11:50
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 09:25
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:20
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:19
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -6.81%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 09:00
Suprabets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.11%EV -10.14%E -4.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.77%EV -7.46%E -2.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 10:26
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.78%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 09:00
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -7.78%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 08:55
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -8.75%E -3.10%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 09:00
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -8.75%E -3.10%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:59
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 09:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 09:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -7.30%E -3.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 09:04
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 08:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.59%EV -8.92%E -3.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.82%EV -10.37%E -3.74%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.59%EV -7.72%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.59%EV -8.92%E -3.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.82%EV -10.37%E -3.74%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.59%EV -7.72%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:10
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -12.63%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 09:00
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.17%EV -12.58%E -5.85%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.84%EV -14.90%E -5.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-11 09:00
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -12.58%E -5.85%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -15.22%E -5.81%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-11 09:00
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.86%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.75%EV -15.22%E -5.81%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-11 08:59
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.82%EV -16.65%E -8.12%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV -15.87%E -6.10%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.99%EV -16.35%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%19.5%2026-04-11 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 38.92%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 32.70%EV -19.10%E -7.64%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.38%EV -22.29%E -7.74%K -11.86%G +0.000%22.3%2026-04-11 08:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 11:30