A Escola das Odds

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v Wehen Wiesbaden

Início: 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)

Previsão 40.66%2.46odd justa
EV -6.08%
Vantagem -2.63%
Kelly -4.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.92%40.80%40.50%42.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.212.202.3148.78%45.21%45.45%43.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visitante)

Previsão 32.36%3.09odd justa
EV +0.310%
Vantagem +0.100%
Kelly +0.148%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.11%32.26%32.42%33.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.822.823.1040.00%35.51%35.46%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.98%3.71odd justa
EV -4.21%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -1.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.73%26.94%27.08%28.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.343.353.5534.72%29.93%29.85%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.310%E +0.100%K +0.148%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 08:59
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.32%EV -6.08%E -2.63%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.71%EV -2.60%E -0.864%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -4.48%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 11:50
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 09:25
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:20
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:19
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:19
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:19
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -6.81%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 09:00
Suprabets2.21I 45.25%NM 41.11%EV -10.14%E -4.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.77%EV -7.46%E -2.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 10:26
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.78%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 09:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -7.78%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 08:55
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -8.75%E -3.10%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 09:00
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -8.75%E -3.10%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 09:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 09:00
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -7.30%E -3.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 09:04
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 08:54
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 08:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 08:55
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 40.59%EV -8.92%E -3.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.82%EV -10.37%E -3.74%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.59%EV -7.72%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:40
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 40.59%EV -8.92%E -3.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.82%EV -10.37%E -3.74%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.59%EV -7.72%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -12.63%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 09:00
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.17%EV -12.58%E -5.85%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.84%EV -14.90%E -5.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-11 09:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -12.58%E -5.85%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -15.22%E -5.81%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-11 09:00
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 40.86%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.75%EV -15.22%E -5.81%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-11 08:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 40.82%EV -16.65%E -8.12%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV -15.87%E -6.10%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.99%EV -16.35%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%19.5%2026-04-11 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 38.92%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 32.70%EV -19.10%E -7.64%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.38%EV -22.29%E -7.74%K -11.86%G +0.000%22.3%2026-04-11 08:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 11:30