L’École des cotes

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v Wehen Wiesbaden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)

Prévision 40.66%2.46cote équitable
EV -6.08%
Avantage -2.63%
Kelly -4.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.92%40.80%40.50%42.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.212.202.3148.78%45.21%45.45%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.36%3.09cote équitable
EV +0.310%
Avantage +0.100%
Kelly +0.148%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.11%32.26%32.42%33.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.822.823.1040.00%35.51%35.46%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.98%3.71cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.73%26.94%27.08%28.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.343.353.5534.72%29.93%29.85%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.310%E +0.100%K +0.148%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 08:59
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.32%EV -6.08%E -2.63%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.71%EV -2.60%E -0.864%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -4.48%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 11:50
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 09:25
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:20
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:19
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:19
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:19
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -6.81%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 09:00
Suprabets2.21I 45.25%NM 41.11%EV -10.14%E -4.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.77%EV -7.46%E -2.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 10:26
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.78%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 09:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -7.78%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 08:55
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -8.75%E -3.10%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 09:00
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -8.75%E -3.10%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 09:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 09:00
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -7.30%E -3.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 09:04
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 08:54
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 08:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 08:55
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 40.59%EV -8.92%E -3.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.82%EV -10.37%E -3.74%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.59%EV -7.72%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:40
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 40.59%EV -8.92%E -3.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.82%EV -10.37%E -3.74%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.59%EV -7.72%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.01%E -4.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -12.63%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 09:00
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.17%EV -12.58%E -5.85%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.84%EV -14.90%E -5.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-11 09:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -12.58%E -5.85%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -15.22%E -5.81%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-11 09:00
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 40.86%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.75%EV -15.22%E -5.81%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-11 08:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 40.82%EV -16.65%E -8.12%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV -15.87%E -6.10%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.99%EV -16.35%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%19.5%2026-04-11 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 38.92%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 32.70%EV -19.10%E -7.64%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.38%EV -22.29%E -7.74%K -11.86%G +0.000%22.3%2026-04-11 08:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 11:30