The School of Odds

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v Jahn Regensburg

2026-08-08 12:00 — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)

Prediction 34.95%2.86fair odd
EV -7.39%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -4.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.95%34.95%34.95%34.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.652.652.65MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
34.95%2.861Min
34.95%2.861Max
34.95%2.861Mean
34.95%2.861Median
34.95%2.861IQM
34.95%2.861Margin-weighted

Jahn Regensburg (Visit)

Prediction 38.59%2.59fair odd
EV -7.39%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -5.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.59%38.59%38.59%38.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.402.402.40MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
38.59%2.591Min
38.59%2.591Max
38.59%2.591Mean
38.59%2.591Median
38.59%2.591IQM
38.59%2.591Margin-weighted

Draw

Prediction 26.46%3.78fair odd
EV -7.39%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.46%26.46%26.46%26.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.503.503.50MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
26.46%3.779Min
26.46%3.779Max
26.46%3.779Mean
26.46%3.779Median
26.46%3.779IQM
26.46%3.779Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local) ▼Jahn Regensburg (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74% NM 34.95%EV -7.39% E -2.79% K -4.48% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 38.59%EV -7.39% E -3.08% K -5.28% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.46%EV -7.39% E -2.11% K -2.95% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 21:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth