Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v Jahn Regensburg

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 2–5 Jahn Regensburg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)

Prediction 43.08%2.32fair odd
EV -6.09%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -5.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.42%43.24%43.11%45.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.122.152.1851.28%47.16%46.51%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jahn Regensburg (Visit)

Prediction 31.18%3.21fair odd
EV +2.89%
Edge +0.877%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.36%31.00%31.20%32.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.872.883.3038.17%34.85%34.72%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.74%3.88fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.575%
Kelly -0.781%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.21%25.76%25.69%27.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.8031.25%28.68%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local): 43.08%; Jahn Regensburg (Visit): 31.18%; Draw: 25.74%. For Jahn Regensburg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +2.89%E +0.877%K +1.26%G +0.036%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 11:44
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.59%EV -3.03%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.57%EV -4.25%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.25%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -4.90%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 11:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 11:54
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:45
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.08%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:50
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.08%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:54
Suprabets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -10.40%E -5.00%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.52%EV -7.08%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.76%EV -9.14%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -2.19%E -0.575%K -0.781%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.22%EV -8.24%E -3.87%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 11:54
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.54%EV -12.98%E -6.43%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 11:45
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 11:39
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 11:34
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:35
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -17.63%E -5.51%K -8.01%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-08 11:45
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 11:39
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:34
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 11:40
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 11:40
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:34
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:35
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:34
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.45%EV -16.00%E -8.20%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.34%EV -18.31%E -6.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.21%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%18.0%2026-08-08 11:44
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.66%EV -16.00%E -8.20%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.75%EV -18.31%E -6.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.59%EV -16.34%E -5.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-08 11:38
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.66%EV -16.00%E -8.20%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.75%EV -18.31%E -6.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.59%EV -16.34%E -5.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-08 11:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.5%2026-08-08 11:50

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