Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v Jahn Regensburg

Início: 2026-08-08 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 2–5 Jahn Regensburg

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)

Previsão 43.08%2.32odd justa
EV -6.09%
Vantagem -2.79%
Kelly -5.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.42%43.24%43.11%45.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.122.152.1851.28%47.16%46.51%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jahn Regensburg (Visitante)

Previsão 31.18%3.21odd justa
EV +2.89%
Vantagem +0.877%
Kelly +1.26%
Crescimento +0.036%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.36%31.00%31.20%32.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.872.883.3038.17%34.85%34.72%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.74%3.88odd justa
EV -2.19%
Vantagem -0.575%
Kelly -0.781%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.21%25.76%25.69%27.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.493.503.8031.25%28.68%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local): 43.08%; Jahn Regensburg (Visitante): 31.18%; Empate: 25.74%. Para Jahn Regensburg (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.21. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.89%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +2.89%E +0.877%K +1.26%G +0.036%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 11:44
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.59%EV -3.03%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.57%EV -4.25%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.25%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -4.90%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 11:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 11:54
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:45
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.08%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:50
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.08%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:54
Suprabets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -10.40%E -5.00%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.52%EV -7.08%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.76%EV -9.14%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -2.19%E -0.575%K -0.781%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.22%EV -8.24%E -3.87%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 11:54
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.54%EV -12.98%E -6.43%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 11:45
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 11:39
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 11:34
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:35
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -17.63%E -5.51%K -8.01%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-08 11:45
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 11:39
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:34
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 11:40
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 11:40
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:34
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:35
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:34
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.45%EV -16.00%E -8.20%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.34%EV -18.31%E -6.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.21%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%18.0%2026-08-08 11:44
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.66%EV -16.00%E -8.20%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.75%EV -18.31%E -6.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.59%EV -16.34%E -5.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-08 11:38
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.66%EV -16.00%E -8.20%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.75%EV -18.31%E -6.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.59%EV -16.34%E -5.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-08 11:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.5%2026-08-08 11:50