L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v Jahn Regensburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 12:00 UTC

Score final : FC Viktoria Köln 1904 2–5 Jahn Regensburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)

Prévision 43.08%2.32cote équitable
EV -6.09%
Avantage -2.79%
Kelly -5.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.42%43.24%43.11%45.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.122.152.1851.28%47.16%46.51%45.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jahn Regensburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.18%3.21cote équitable
EV +2.89%
Avantage +0.877%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.36%31.00%31.20%32.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.872.883.3038.17%34.85%34.72%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.74%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.575%
Kelly -0.781%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.21%25.76%25.69%27.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.493.503.8031.25%28.68%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local) : 43.08% ; Jahn Regensburg (Visiteur) : 31.18% ; Match nul : 25.74%. Pour Jahn Regensburg (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.21. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.30, soit une espérance positive de +2.89%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +2.89%E +0.877%K +1.26%G +0.036%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 11:44
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.59%EV -3.03%E -0.974%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.57%EV -4.25%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.25%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -4.90%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 11:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 11:54
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:45
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.08%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:50
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.08%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:54
Suprabets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -10.40%E -5.00%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.52%EV -7.08%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.76%EV -9.14%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -2.19%E -0.575%K -0.781%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.22%EV -8.24%E -3.87%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 11:54
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.54%EV -12.98%E -6.43%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 11:45
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 11:39
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 11:34
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:35
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -17.63%E -5.51%K -8.01%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-08 11:45
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 11:39
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:34
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:35
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 11:40
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 11:40
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.70%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:34
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:35
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:34
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.45%EV -16.00%E -8.20%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.34%EV -18.31%E -6.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.21%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%18.0%2026-08-08 11:44
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.66%EV -16.00%E -8.20%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.75%EV -18.31%E -6.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.59%EV -16.34%E -5.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-08 11:38
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.66%EV -16.00%E -8.20%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.75%EV -18.31%E -6.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.59%EV -16.34%E -5.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-08 11:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.5%2026-08-08 11:50