Language:English
FC Ingolstadt 04 v Waldhof Mannheim
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Prediction 47.70%2.10fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%47.77%47.62%49.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.931.942.0257.14%51.74%51.41%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waldhof Mannheim (Visit)
Prediction 28.73%3.48fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.507%
Kelly -0.716%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.46%28.65%28.94%30.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.093.103.4235.71%32.35%32.26%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.57%4.24fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -0.825%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.34%23.58%23.44%25.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.793.754.1030.77%26.40%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local): 47.70%; Waldhof Mannheim (Visit): 28.73%; Draw: 23.57%. For Waldhof Mannheim (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.42, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -3.64%E -1.80%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.36%E -4.05%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -5.55%E -2.80%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -5.55%E -2.80%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.30%EV -6.50%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.68%EV -1.73%E -0.507%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.03%EV -7.15%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.55%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.55%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -7.46%E -3.84%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -9.49%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.825%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.45%EV -7.94%E -4.11%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -9.49%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.10%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -9.37%E -4.93%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -2.31%E -0.679%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.84%EV -9.37%E -4.93%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 27.46%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.70%EV -13.28%E -3.61%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:06 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -9.37%E -4.93%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 11:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -10.80%E -5.77%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -10.80%E -5.77%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.92%EV -11.75%E -6.35%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.93%EV -16.67%E -5.75%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.15%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.61%EV -12.71%E -6.94%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.05%EV -16.67%E -5.75%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -8.10%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.36%EV -14.14%E -7.85%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.80%EV -19.55%E -6.98%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -17.52%E -5.01%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-05-16 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 45.90%EV -14.14%E -7.85%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -17.25%E -5.99%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.42%EV -23.41%E -7.20%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.21%EV -16.52%E -9.44%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.29%EV -17.25%E -5.99%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.50%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-05-16 09:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.89% | 1.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |