La scuola delle quote

FC Ingolstadt 04 v Waldhof Mannheim

Inizio: 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

Finale: FC Ingolstadt 04 5–1 Waldhof Mannheim

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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42 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Casa)

Previsione 47.70%2.10quota equa
EV -3.64%
Vantaggio -1.80%
Kelly -3.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.31%47.77%47.62%49.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.931.942.0257.14%51.74%51.41%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Waldhof Mannheim (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.73%3.48quota equa
EV -1.73%
Vantaggio -0.507%
Kelly -0.716%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.46%28.65%28.94%30.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.093.103.4235.71%32.35%32.26%29.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.57%4.24quota equa
EV -3.38%
Vantaggio -0.825%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.34%23.58%23.44%25.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.793.754.1030.77%26.40%26.67%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -3.64%E -1.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.36%E -4.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 10:45
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 10:45
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 10:45
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 10:45
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 10:45
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 10:45
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 10:45
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 10:45
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 10:45
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 10:45
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -5.55%E -2.80%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:20
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -5.55%E -2.80%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:20
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.30%EV -6.50%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.68%EV -1.73%E -0.507%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.03%EV -7.15%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:05
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.55%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:10
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.55%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:10
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:20
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 11:05
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -7.46%E -3.84%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -9.49%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.825%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:10
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.45%EV -7.94%E -4.11%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -9.49%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.10%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:15
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:05
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 11:24
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 09:20
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 09:20
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:05
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:05
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -9.37%E -4.93%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -2.31%E -0.679%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:10
Suprabets1.90I 52.63%NM 47.84%EV -9.37%E -4.93%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.46%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.70%EV -13.28%E -3.61%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:06
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -9.37%E -4.93%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 11:19
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -10.80%E -5.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:20
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -10.80%E -5.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 11:20
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 46.92%EV -11.75%E -6.35%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.93%EV -16.67%E -5.75%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.15%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-16 11:20
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.61%EV -12.71%E -6.94%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.05%EV -16.67%E -5.75%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -8.10%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-16 11:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 46.36%EV -14.14%E -7.85%K -17.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.80%EV -19.55%E -6.98%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -17.52%E -5.01%K -7.01%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-16 11:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 45.90%EV -14.14%E -7.85%K -17.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -17.25%E -5.99%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.42%EV -23.41%E -7.20%K -10.41%G +0.000%21.0%2026-05-16 11:20
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 48.21%EV -16.52%E -9.44%K -22.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.29%EV -17.25%E -5.99%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.50%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%18.5%2026-05-16 09:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.89%1.6%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%2.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%2.3%2026-05-16 11:20