La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Ingolstadt 04 v Waldhof Mannheim
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Predicción 47.70%2.10momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -3.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%47.77%47.62%49.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.931.942.0257.14%51.74%51.41%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Waldhof Mannheim (Visitante)
Predicción 28.73%3.48momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.507%
Kelly -0.716%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.46%28.65%28.94%30.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.093.103.4235.71%32.35%32.26%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.57%4.24momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -0.825%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.34%23.58%23.44%25.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.793.754.1030.77%26.40%26.67%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -3.64%E -1.80%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.36%E -4.05%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -5.55%E -2.80%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -5.55%E -2.80%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.30%EV -6.50%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.68%EV -1.73%E -0.507%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.03%EV -7.15%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.55%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.55%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -7.46%E -3.84%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -9.49%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.825%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.45%EV -7.94%E -4.11%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -9.49%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.10%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -9.37%E -4.93%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -2.31%E -0.679%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Suprabets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.84%EV -9.37%E -4.93%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 27.46%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.70%EV -13.28%E -3.61%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:06 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -9.37%E -4.93%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 11:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -10.80%E -5.77%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -10.80%E -5.77%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.92%EV -11.75%E -6.35%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.93%EV -16.67%E -5.75%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.15%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.61%EV -12.71%E -6.94%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.05%EV -16.67%E -5.75%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -8.10%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.36%EV -14.14%E -7.85%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.80%EV -19.55%E -6.98%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -17.52%E -5.01%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-05-16 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 45.90%EV -14.14%E -7.85%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -17.25%E -5.99%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.42%EV -23.41%E -7.20%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.21%EV -16.52%E -9.44%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.29%EV -17.25%E -5.99%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.50%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-05-16 09:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.89% | 1.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |