Language:English
FC Ingolstadt 04 v SC Verl
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Prediction 34.87%2.87fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.59%34.79%34.98%35.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.622.652.7542.02%38.11%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SC Verl (Visit)
Prediction 40.23%2.49fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.80%40.30%40.16%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.4047.62%44.57%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.90%4.02fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -0.935%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.07%24.91%24.85%27.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.593.653.8733.33%27.82%27.40%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local): 34.87%; SC Verl (Visit): 40.23%; Draw: 24.90%. For SC Verl (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -3.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.85%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.93%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.85%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.93%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.71%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.67%EV -3.62%E -0.935%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-08 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.61%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-08 18:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.60%EV -8.30%E -3.16%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.26%EV -9.08%E -4.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 18:11 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.35%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -4.12%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.35%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -4.12%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 17:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.35%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.88%E -3.44%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -11.09%E -4.35%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -17.81%E -5.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-08 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -17.81%E -5.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.71%EV -16.32%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.66%EV -15.52%E -7.39%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.63%EV -19.06%E -5.86%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -16.32%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -15.52%E -7.39%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -25.29%E -8.43%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 22.6% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.88%EV -17.02%E -7.15%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.72%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.40%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-08 18:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.53% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.47% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.53% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.47% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.53% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.47% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |