L’École des cotesFrançais
FC Ingolstadt 04 v SC Verl
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Prévision 34.87%2.87cote équitable
EV -4.12%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.59%34.79%34.98%35.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.622.652.7542.02%38.11%37.74%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
SC Verl (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.23%2.49cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.47%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.80%40.30%40.16%41.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.252.4047.62%44.57%44.44%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.90%4.02cote équitable
EV -3.62%
Avantage -0.935%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.07%24.91%24.85%27.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.593.653.8733.33%27.82%27.40%25.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.85%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.93%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.85%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.93%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.71%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.67%EV -3.62%E -0.935%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-08 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.61%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Bovada | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-08 18:25 |
| Suprabets | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.60%EV -8.30%E -3.16%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.26%EV -9.08%E -4.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 18:11 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.35%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -4.12%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.35%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -4.12%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 17:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.35%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.88%E -3.44%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -11.09%E -4.35%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -17.81%E -5.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-08 17:49 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -17.81%E -5.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.71%EV -16.32%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.66%EV -15.52%E -7.39%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.63%EV -19.06%E -5.86%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -16.32%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -15.52%E -7.39%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -25.29%E -8.43%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 22.6% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.88%EV -17.02%E -7.15%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.72%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.40%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-08 18:08 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.53% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.47% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.53% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.47% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.53% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.47% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |