A Escola das Odds

FC Ingolstadt 04 v SC Verl

Início: 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)

Previsão 34.87%2.87odd justa
EV -4.12%
Vantagem -1.50%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.59%34.79%34.98%35.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.622.652.7542.02%38.11%37.74%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Verl (Visitante)

Previsão 40.23%2.49odd justa
EV -3.45%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -2.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.80%40.30%40.16%41.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.242.252.4047.62%44.57%44.44%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.90%4.02odd justa
EV -3.62%
Vantagem -0.935%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.07%24.91%24.85%27.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.593.653.8733.33%27.82%27.40%25.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.85%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.93%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 18:04
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.85%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.93%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 18:04
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 34.71%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.67%EV -3.62%E -0.935%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 18:19
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 17:45
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 17:54
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 17:55
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 17:54
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 17:55
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 17:55
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 17:54
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 17:55
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 17:55
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 17:54
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 17:54
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.10%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 17:54
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 18:25
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.61%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 18:05
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 18:20
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 18:19
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-08 18:25
Suprabets2.63I 38.02%NM 34.60%EV -8.30%E -3.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.26%EV -9.08%E -4.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 18:11
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 18:05
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 18:05
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 18:20
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 18:05
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 18:04
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 18:05
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.35%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -4.12%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 18:05
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.35%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -4.12%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 17:49
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.35%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.88%E -3.44%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 18:04
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -11.09%E -4.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -17.81%E -5.40%K -7.75%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-08 18:20
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 17:49
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 18:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 18:00
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -17.81%E -5.40%K -7.75%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-08 18:20
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 34.71%EV -16.32%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.66%EV -15.52%E -7.39%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.63%EV -19.06%E -5.86%K -8.47%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-08 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -16.32%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -15.52%E -7.39%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -25.29%E -8.43%K -12.64%G +0.000%22.6%2026-03-08 18:19
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 35.88%EV -17.02%E -7.15%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.72%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.40%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-08 18:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.53%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.47%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%1.3%2026-03-08 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.53%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.47%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%1.3%2026-03-08 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.53%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.47%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%1.3%2026-03-08 18:20