A Escola das Odds

FC Ingolstadt 04 v MSV Duisburg

Início: 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)

Previsão 37.66%2.66odd justa
EV -3.60%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -2.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.73%37.62%37.71%38.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.422.452.5644.44%41.25%40.82%39.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

MSV Duisburg (Visitante)

Previsão 35.24%2.84odd justa
EV +0.439%
Vantagem +0.154%
Kelly +0.237%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.88%35.16%35.29%36.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.552.502.8543.48%39.26%40.00%35.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.10%3.69odd justa
EV -3.79%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.89%27.21%27.00%28.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.363.403.5534.72%29.80%29.41%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.72%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV +0.439%E +0.154%K +0.237%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 17:35
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.72%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV +0.439%E +0.154%K +0.237%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -3.08%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 17:39
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.83%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.74%EV -6.77%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.61%E -2.49%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.50%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:35
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.80%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.67%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.50%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 17:35
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.80%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.67%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.50%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 17:35
Suprabets2.44I 40.98%NM 37.27%EV -8.12%E -3.33%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 34.84%EV -8.02%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 27.89%EV -11.65%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 17:36
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 17:40
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 17:35
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:35
Codere (IT)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -8.49%E -3.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 17:40
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-04 17:35
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.13%E -3.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.50%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 17:24
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.13%E -3.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 17:40
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -11.50%E -4.90%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.13%E -3.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 17:40
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:25
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:25
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:24
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:25
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:25
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:25
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:25
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 17:35
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 17:35
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-04 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-04 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.75%E -4.54%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-04 17:35
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.75%E -4.54%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-04 17:35
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-04 17:35
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-04 17:35
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-04 17:35
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-04 17:35
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -13.66%E -5.57%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-04 17:35
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -13.66%E -5.57%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-04 17:35
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -15.27%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.07%EV -16.12%E -6.77%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -18.70%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-04 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -18.94%E -8.24%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%EV -21.95%E -7.62%K -11.68%G +0.000%21.7%2026-03-04 17:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.76%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55%1.5%2026-03-04 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.02%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54%1.5%2026-03-04 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.02%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54%1.5%2026-03-04 17:40