Idioma:Español
FC Ingolstadt 04 v MSV Duisburg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Predicción 37.66%2.66momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.73%37.62%37.71%38.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.452.5644.44%41.25%40.82%39.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
MSV Duisburg (Visitante)
Predicción 35.24%2.84momio equitativo
EV +0.439%
Ventaja +0.154%
Kelly +0.237%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.88%35.16%35.29%36.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.552.502.8543.48%39.26%40.00%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.10%3.69momio equitativo
EV -3.79%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.89%27.21%27.00%28.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.363.403.5534.72%29.80%29.41%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local): 37.66%; MSV Duisburg (Visitante): 35.24%; Empate: 27.10%. Para MSV Duisburg (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.84. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.439%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.72%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV +0.439%E +0.154%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.72%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV +0.439%E +0.154%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -3.08%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 17:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.83%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.74%EV -6.77%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.61%E -2.49%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.50%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.80%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.67%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.50%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.80%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.67%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.50%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.27%EV -8.12%E -3.33%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 34.84%EV -8.02%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 27.89%EV -11.65%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 17:36 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -8.49%E -3.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.13%E -3.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.50%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.13%E -3.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -11.50%E -4.90%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.13%E -3.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.75%E -4.54%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.75%E -4.54%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -13.66%E -5.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -13.66%E -5.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -15.27%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.07%EV -16.12%E -6.77%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -18.70%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-04 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -18.94%E -8.24%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%EV -21.95%E -7.62%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 21.7% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.76% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.02% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.02% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |