Langue:Français
FC Ingolstadt 04 v MSV Duisburg
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Prévision 37.66%2.66cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -2.31%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.73%37.62%37.71%38.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.422.452.5644.44%41.25%40.82%39.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
MSV Duisburg (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.24%2.84cote équitable
EV +0.439%
Avantage +0.154%
Kelly +0.237%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 2.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.88%35.16%35.29%36.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.552.502.8543.48%39.26%40.00%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.10%3.69cote équitable
EV -3.79%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.89%27.21%27.00%28.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.363.403.5534.72%29.80%29.41%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local) : 37.66% ; MSV Duisburg (Visiteur) : 35.24% ; Match nul : 27.10%. Pour MSV Duisburg (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.84. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.85, soit une espérance positive de +0.439%.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.72%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV +0.439%E +0.154%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.72%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV +0.439%E +0.154%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -3.08%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 17:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.83%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.74%EV -6.77%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.61%E -2.49%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.50%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.80%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.67%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.50%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.80%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.67%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.50%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.27%EV -8.12%E -3.33%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 34.84%EV -8.02%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 27.89%EV -11.65%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 17:36 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -8.49%E -3.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.13%E -3.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.50%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.13%E -3.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -11.50%E -4.90%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.13%E -3.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.75%E -4.54%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.75%E -4.54%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -11.90%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -13.66%E -5.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -13.66%E -5.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -15.27%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.07%EV -16.12%E -6.77%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -18.70%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-04 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -18.94%E -8.24%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%EV -21.95%E -7.62%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 21.7% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.76% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.02% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.02% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |